--- title: "Lunchtime Links: Nate Silver’s Numbers Didn’t Lie" id: "14315" type: "post" slug: "lunchtime-links-nate-silvers-numbers-didnt-lie" published_at: "2012-11-07T19:00:52+00:00" modified_at: "2026-11-09T19:21:40+00:00" url: "https://associationsnow.com/2012/11/07/lunchtime-links-nate-silvers-numbers-didnt-lie/" markdown_url: "https://associationsnow.com/2012/11/07/lunchtime-links-nate-silvers-numbers-didnt-lie.md" excerpt: "Nate Silver’s spot-on prediction of the presidential election is a big win for big data. Also: Why the president’s leadership shouldn’t be a proxy for your own." taxonomy_category: - "Ethics" taxonomy_post_tag: - "AssociationsNow" - "Business" - "Data Analysis" - "elections" - "Statistics" taxonomy_content_format: - "Article" taxonomy_role: - "Association CEO / Executive Director" - "C-Level" - "Executive Team" taxonomy_persona: - "Industry Professionals" --- [Home](https://associationsnow.com/) » [Articles](https://associationsnow.com/format/article/) » Lunchtime Links: Nate Silver’s Numbers Didn’t Lie Yesterday’s election had many ups and downs, and no matter if your candidate won, it was certainly interesting to watch things unfold. But the real winner last night might have been high-profile statistician Nate Silver, and by extension big data in general. That and more in today’s Lunchtime Links: **Nate’s data justified:** In recent weeks, Silver, founder of *The New York Times’* FiveThirtyEight blog, [took a lot of heat from pundits (opens in a new tab)](http://www.politico.com/blogs/media/2012/10/nate-silver-romney-clearly-could-still-win-147618.html) over his predictions, with many believing that his statistical models would be off. But last night, Silver’s models [correctly predicted how every state would vote (opens in a new tab)](http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/06/live-blog-the-2012-presidential-election/?src=twt&twt=fivethirtyeight#not-a-big-win-for-obama-but-a-broad-one) , a victory based in shrewd data analysis, not guessing. That achievement shouldn’t be missed by organizations skeptical about using data to boost their own fortunes. (Also, speaking of data: [Silver drew a massive chunk (opens in a new tab)](http://adage.com/article/campaign-trail/nate-silver-s-election-predictions-a-win-big-data-york-times/238182/) of *The New York Times’* traffic last night.) **Don’t focus too much on the president:** Rosetta Thurman says that while it’s OK to support leaders like President Obama, [that doesn’t mean you should put all your eggs in one basket (opens in a new tab)](http://www.rosettathurman.com/2012/11/we-cant-afford-four-more-years-of-leadership-by-proxy/) , waiting for them to solve your problems. “It’s dangerous for anyone to allow one political party or leader to act as a proxy for their values,” she writes. “There’s no way you will agree with all decisions that are made by the Democrats or the president or any other person in office. Like I said, I’m not on Team Romney but I’m certainly not 100 percent all in for Obama either. It’s healthy to be both supportive and skeptical. Committed, yet critical.” She recommends, instead, focusing on your own values as a leader. **Child privacy headaches:** [As we noted last month (opens in a new tab)](http://associationsnow.com/2012/10/associations-fight-support-online-child-privacy-changes/) , the Children’s Online Privacy Protection Act (COPPA) is up for a series of regulatory updates, which industry groups are fighting. [The New York Times has a good roundup (opens in a new tab)](http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/06/technology/silicon-valley-objects-to-online-privacy-rule-proposals-for-children.html?pagewanted=all) of the conflicts the proposed changes are causing. Some groups, such as the Association for Competitive Technology, warn that the changes could negatively affect the focus the industry places on younger internet users. “Children under 13 aren’t enough of a market, aren’t worthwhile to spend the money on compliance and tolerate the risk of getting it wrong,” the group’s executive director, Morgan Reed, told the paper. Child advocacy groups, however, support full enactment of the changes. How did you spend your election night? Let us know in the comments. (photo by Randy Stewart/Flickr) [Ernie Smith](https://associationsnow.com/author/ernie-smith/) Ernie Smith is a former senior editor for Associations Now. [More articles by this author](https://associationsnow.com/author/ernie-smith/) Tags: [#Business](https://associationsnow.com/tag/business/) [#Data Analysis](https://associationsnow.com/tag/data-analysis/) [#elections](https://associationsnow.com/tag/elections/) [#Statistics](https://associationsnow.com/tag/statistics/) **Stay Informed** [Subscribe to our free newsletter](https://associationsnow.com/newsletter/) , *Associations Now Daily News*, to find out what’s happening in the association world every business day. ## You Might Like - [TemplateMembers onlyThe American Society of Plastic Surgeons – Gender Quick FactsJuly 16, 2008](https://associationsnow.com/2008/07/16/the-american-society-of-plastic-surgeons-gender-quick-facts/) - [VideoUrban Land Institute- Project Recovery: Rebuilding Los Angeles After the January 2025 WildfiresSeptember 24, 2026](https://associationsnow.com/2026/09/24/urban-land-institute-project-recovery-rebuilding-los-angeles-after-the-january-2025-wildfires/) - [PodcastAssociations NOW Presents: All for the Love of Chicago: Rethinking the Destination ExperienceSeptember 10, 2026](https://associationsnow.com/2026/09/10/associations-now-presents-all-for-the-love-of-chicago-rethinking-the-destination-experience/) - [VideoExploring New Frontiers: Leadership, Resilience and the Future of SpaceflightAugust 27, 2026](https://associationsnow.com/2026/08/27/exploring-new-frontiers-leadership-resilience-and-the-future-of-spaceflight/) ## Comments **Comments are for ASAE members.** [Learn more about comments on this site.](https://associationsnow.com/comments/) [Log in](https://associationsnow.com/login?redirect_to=https%3A%2F%2Fassociationsnow.com%2F2012%2F11%2F07%2Flunchtime-links-nate-silvers-numbers-didnt-lie%2F%23comments) to your member account or [join ASAE](https://my.asaecenter.org/select-a-membership-type/) !